Sports gambling can be very profitable if you know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a excellent case in point. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western side Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West Va had this edge in the match. However , We also noticed that there was a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on that game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This online game features all the signals of being one associated with the best games connected with the year, together with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming again from getting down huge in the independence day one fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the adventure look like this year?
When this match were as played at a good fairly neutral field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 STREET games.
These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, typically the included benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like significantly, but in a close up match-up such as this, that more point will make the change between some sort of push and even a loss.
But บาคาร่า may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home video games.
Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since December 18, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points for every game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 8 points per game at home. In case anyone decided not to do the mathematics, that means given that their particular last home damage they already have averaged beating their particular competitors by simply about 34 details per game.
In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by way of 13 things per video game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats had been piled up during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They have already experienced recent games in which they also have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The bottom line is that this is still a new close match to get in touch with. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any factor to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this kind of game and certainly not gamble at all. There are usually better games this end of the week with more simple rewards.
The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge wasn’t so big that they can may possibly still win after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this kind of sport, people significant regarding sports betting saved money that they can offer better apply on coming games.